c26636204.2021.07.30

新冠疫情下中国农业原物料产业内贸易的反思

Reflections on China's Intra-industry Trade of Agricultural Raw Materials under COVID-19

江雅轩 (Ya-Xuan Jiang)1*  庄斯淇 (Si-Qi Zhuang)2

1*厦门大学嘉庚学院国际商务学院国际经济与贸易专业 1262237534@qq.com

2厦门大学嘉庚学院国际商务学院国际经济与贸易专业

2020年伊始,新冠肺炎疫情在全球范围内爆发并迅速扩散,让所有人始料未及,也给世界经济和中国经济也带来了巨大的冲击。由于多国实施限制措施,人员无法随意外出、人力自然无法自由移动;而各国间的供应链结受阻,致使解决民生最基本问题的农业原物料贸易更形重要。本文对疫情期前中国与全世界、亚洲、东亚、东南亚、南亚、西亚及中亚农业原物料的产业内贸易进行研究,结合产业内贸易指数和重叠需求理论,分析得出与中国农业原物料贸易最频繁的区域,并依据重叠需求理论分析结果,对未来新冠疫情后中国的贸易方向与策略提出建议。

关键词:新冠肺炎、农业原物料、产业内贸易、重叠需求理论

At the beginning of 2020, the COVID-19 broke out unexpectedly and spread rapidly around the world, which severely affect the world as well as China’s economy. Because of the restrictions imposed by many countries, personnel cannot go out at will and human resources cannot move freely. Blocked supply chain between countries makes the trade of agricultural raw materials more important because of the most basic issues of livelihood. This paper studies intra-industry trade between China and the world, Asia, East Asia, Southeast Asia, South Asia, West Asia and Central Asia before the COVID-19 along with the intra-industry trade index (IITI) and Overlapping Demand Theory (ODT) to analyze the regions with the most frequent trade in agricultural raw materials with China. Suggestions are proposed on China’s trade direction and strategies under COVID-19.

Keywords: COVID-19, Agricultural Raw Materials, Intra-industry Trade, Overlapping Demand Theory

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