中国是最大的发展中国家，而南非是非洲最重要的经济体之一。中国近年来一直与南非保持着互利共赢的贸易关系，通过成立中非贸易论坛与一带一路建设，加入金砖国家，帮助南非建设基础设施，进一步加强了中南之间的贸易关系的紧密程度。中国已经自2009年连续多年成为南非最大的进出口国家，是最重要的贸易合作伙伴，但是南非在中国的平均进出口额仅占中国总进出口额的4%，占比很小，未来还有很大的贸易发展潜力。本文通过对中国与南非货物贸易规模商品结构以及所遇到的阻碍的分析，进而体现近年来的中南货物贸易发展现状。本文在贸易结合度理论、显示性比较优势以及产业内贸易理论的基础上进行分析，探索未来的发展趋势，发现中国与南非之间在未来的货物贸易往来上的发展空间和潜力；然后在此基础上给出相关的建议，最后对中国与南非贸易关系进行总结。

关键词：中南货物贸易、发展现状、发展趋势

China is the largest developing country, while South Africa is one of the most important economy in Africa. In recent years, China has maintained a mutually beneficial and win-win trade relationship with South Africa. Through the establishment of China-Africa Trade Forum and the construction of “The Belt and Road”, China has joined BRICS countries to assist South Africa in infrastructure and further strengthened the relations between both nations. Since 2009, China, one of South Africa's most important trade partners, has been South Africa's largest import and export countries for many continuous years. South Africa, however, only account for 4% of China's total imports and exports on average, a very small percentage for China. There is still a lot potential for trade development. Through the analysis of China and South Africa goods trade scale, product structure, and the obstacles in bilateral trade, this paper reflects current situation of the development of bilateral goods trade in recent years. Based on the theory of trade integration degree, revealed comparative advantage and intra-industry trade, this paper also explores the trend, space and potential of future development in the future goods trade between China and South Africa followed by relevant suggestions of the trade relationship between China and South Africa.

Keywords: Sino-South Africa Trade in Goods, Development Status, Development Trend