本研究选取近20年中国与其RCEP成员国贸易面板数据，利用传统贸易引力模型和EViews10系统，对面板数据进行描述性分析以及实证引力模型分析。发现中国与其他14个成员国贸易流量大，在机械制造、塑料及其制品、化工产品等领域贸易往来密切。实证分析则选取了两国（地区）GDP、两国（地区）人均生产总值之差绝对值、两国（地区）空间距离等因子。最后得出结论：两国（地区）GDP、一个国家（地区）贸易开放度对两国贸易有正向作用，两国（地区）空间距离和两国（地区）人均生产总值之差绝对值对两国贸易呈负相关。

关键词：区域全面经济伙伴关系协定、引力模型方程、进出口货物贸易

In this paper, the panel data of China and its RCEP member countries in the past 20 years are selected to conduct descriptive analysis and empirical gravity model analysis on the panel data by using traditional trade gravity model and EViews 10 system. It was found that China has a large trade flow with the other 14 member states, and has close trade exchanges in the fields of machinery manufacturing, plastics and their products, and chemical products. The empirical analysis selects factors such as the GDP of the two areas, the absolute value of the difference between the two areas per capita GDP, the spatial distance between the two countries. it is concluded that the GDP of two countries (regions) and the trade openness of a country (region) have a positive effect on the trade between the two countries, and the spatial distance between two areas and the absolute difference of per capita GDP of two area have negative correlation on trade of two countries.

Keywords: Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), Gravity Model Equations, Import and Export of Goods