c26636204.2021.01.07

非洲猪瘟疫情下福建省猪肉价格波动规律研究

-基于蛛网模型理论

Regularity of Pork Price Fluctuation in Fujian Province under African Swine Fever-Based on the Theory of “Cobweb Model”

宋倩倩 (Qian-Qian Song)1       游俊雄 (Jun-Xiong You)2      陈梦 (Meng Chen)3 * 
1厦门大学嘉庚学院管理学院研究助理
2厦门大学嘉庚学院管理学院副教授兼物流管理教研室主任
3*厦门大学嘉庚学院管理学院副教授 chenmeng@xujc.com

 

猪肉作为重要的农产品之一,其价格波动也备受关注。此次非洲猪瘟对福建省的猪肉市场形成了一定的冲击,导致了生猪存栏量大幅度下降,猪肉价格上涨,影响了人们的生活和生产。本文利用“蛛网模型”理论,以我国2018年1月-2019年12月的猪肉价格为对象研究其波动规律,并给出可持续发展的建议和有效地应对措施。

关键词蛛网模型、猪肉价格、市场交易量、非洲猪瘟

As one of the important agricultural products, the price fluctuation of pork has also attracted much attention. The African swine fever on the pork market in Fujian Province has formed a certain impact, resulting in a sharp decline in pig stock and increases in pork prices, which affects human lives and production. This paper uses the “Cobweb Model” theory to study the fluctuation law of pork prices from January 2018-December 2019 in China, and gives recommendations and effective countermeasures for sustainable development.

Keywords: Cobweb Model, Pork Price, Market Trading Volume, African Swine Fever

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