27089851.2021.06.06

An Empirical Analysis of Fujian Pork Prices under African Swine Fever Based on ARIMA Model

Qian-Qian Song 1, Jun-Xiong You 2 and Meng Chen 3, *

1 Student of School of Management, Xiamen University Tan Kah Kee College

2 Associate Professor of School of Management, Xiamen University Tan Kah Kee College

3 Associate Professor of School of Management, Xiamen University Tan Kah Kee College

* Correspondence: chenmeng@xujc.com

This article takes the monthly data of the average pork price in Fujian Province from January 2018 to December 2019 as the research object, conducts the ARIMA model construction and analysis, and predicts the pork price in Fujian Province from January to June 2020. Results show that the pork price will have dropped slightly than before, but it is still at a relatively high level. Corresponding policy recommendations are made based on the results of the study.

Keywords: Pork Price; ARIMA Model; Forecast

DOI: https://doi.org/10.52288/bp.27089851.2021.06.06

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